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To reverse a decade of weakening overall factor performance, local labour market policy is shifting from simple task creation to managing active workforce transitions. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to gear up workers for emerging roles. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style pathways are ending up being more typical as firms incorporate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil costs anticipated to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are magnifying their focus on expenditure discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Financial policy is rotating towards the monetisation of state-owned properties in logistics, utilities, and desalination to reroute funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While borrowing by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money tactical deficits, the focus remains on reinforcing non-oil income structures.
PwC Middle East financial policy and technique partner Jing Teow said: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now focused on delivery. In 2026, the top priority is enhancing economic durability through more protected trade and financial investment relationships, efficient AI implementation, handled labor force shifts and disciplined fiscal policy in a more tough and fragmented global environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's financial growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, durable domestic need and renewed investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to surpass most international areas peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and increasing investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil incomes will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is expected to increase once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will remain a significant factor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by industrial growth and policy reforms, including eased foreign ownership guidelines that intend to promote additional investment. The financial deficit is projected to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil prices, while the current five-year rent freeze in Riyadh intends to reduce inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise placed for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP projection to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourist, trade and monetary services stay crucial development chauffeurs, supported by population growth and continual domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to get once again in the 2nd half of 2026, complementing continuous financial investment in infrastructure, innovation and worldwide trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has come in building diverse, resistant and globally competitive economies.
How to Utilize GCC Intelligence for SuccessScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Economist and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring rate, supported by robust demand and increasing financial investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of solid domestic principles, a sharp uplift in federal government spending and continual diversity efforts.
Actionable Tips for Mastering the GCC LandscapeWhat differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not simply the acceleration of technological modification, though that velocity is real, but rather a fundamental shift in how enterprises envisage their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this growth masks a more profound transformation.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss duty, and add to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal start-ups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with worldwide organization results. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most substantial tactical recalibration in the GCC model's evolution.
This week, we're convening more than 3000 meetings in between investors and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together financiers, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what comes next, including the expansion and continuous development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing role in worldwide networks of capital and trade.
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