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Methods for Optimising Regional Operations in 2026

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Business news and financial news, analysis, viewpoint and statistics covering the six Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Economic growth across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to speed up in 2026, with the region forecasted to outshine its 2025 efficiency in spite of soft oil revenues and ongoing global unpredictabilities. According to a new Oxford Economics research study briefing, GCC GDP growth is anticipated to increase to 4.4 per cent in 2026, up from 4 per cent in 2025, reflecting a resistant nonenergy sector, strong consumer dynamics, and gradually enhancing oil output.

The newest projections suggest that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to restore momentum, buoyed by reinforcing domestic demand and a broadly steady international background. The report highlights GCC consumers as a significant motorist of the region's financial efficiency heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing genuine non reusable earnings are anticipated to sustain a surge in customer costs throughout the Gulf.

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Credit growth is likewise anticipated to remain elevated as access to monetary services widens. With GCC main banks expected to follow expected US Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the area's dollar pegs, obtaining costs are likely to decrease, providing families and organizations further motivation to spend and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the region's resilience, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook presents a blended picture.

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This could weigh on firsthalf growth, especially for economies more reliant on oil extraction. Oxford Economics forecasts a rebound later on in 2026, with Opec+ members anticipated to resume raising production as inventories tighten and international need enhances. Qatar, on the other hand, sticks out as a regional outperformer, with considerable growths in gas production and exports anticipated to lift its general economic efficiency.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 spending plan prepares for a 6 percent cut in capital investment as the kingdom intends to narrow its fiscal deficit by two percentage points. The report keeps in mind that these cuts might not materialise completely if countercyclical costs procedures are triggered to support growth. By contrast, more diversified economies such as the UAE and Qatar are anticipated to continue advancing their development agendas.

Despite shortterm dangers connected to oil costs and global demand, the GCC's 2026 financial outlook is defined by strength in fundamentals: durable consumers, robust nonenergy sectors, enhancing oil characteristics, and strategic financial preparation. With these elements lining up, the area is preparing for among its most balanced durations of expansion recently anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP growth.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are anticipated to remain resistant in 2026, driven by strong domestic demand and a broadly consistent international economy, according to an analysis. In its most current report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the genuine gross domestic product of the GCC region is anticipated to expand by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the predicted 4 percent this year.

We expect GCC development will rise to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center stated that economic growth in the region is set to speed up to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by expanding non-oil sectors.

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Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of overall GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the area's ongoing development towards diversity. According to Oxford Economics, GCC consumers will be standout entertainers in 2026 and are expected to outshine their worldwide peers.

In December, the IMF further stated that headline inflation is anticipated to stay listed below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and slightly above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit development is anticipated to stay elevated in the GCC region during 2026, as access to financial services is expected to grow and lending is forecasted to be supported by more cuts in rate of interest."Owing to their currency pegs to the US dollar, GCC main banks are expected to follow the United States Federal Reserve by reducing monetary policy even more, which in turn will lower financial obligation servicing costs and increase non reusable earnings and demand," said the report.